Towards AITowards AIToneBench

ToneBench Judge Panel Analysis

Last updated , from board data generated at 01:13 UTC.

Every figure except the head-to-head check in section 06 is recomputed from the 25,400 stored judgments of 6,350 drafts by 127 ranked configurations each time the board is rebuilt; that check uses its own 540 side-by-side judgments. A configuration is one model at one reasoning or thinking setting. The Writing Score is the 0 to 100 consensus of the four judges and code; the Writing Elo is a rating from pairwise comparisons of those scores, and the board ranks by it. Jev, the only judge that is not an LLM, is a typed judge: a decision model that answers fixed multiple-choice questions and writes no text. The methodology page describes how the judges are run, calibrated and checked.

Summary of Findings

Lab Preference
GPT-6.1 Sol gives OpenAI configurations 3.7 more points than the other LLM judges' scores predict (95% interval 2.3 to 5.2), and Claude Opus 5.5 gives Anthropic 1.9 more (1.0 to 2.9). For each, its own lab is the largest preference it shows. GLM 5.3 Flash's preference for Z.ai, +0.5 points, has a 95% interval of -0.3 to 1.2, which includes zero, so this board cannot tell it from noise.
Own Model
All three LLM judges score the model they run higher than the other LLM judges' scores predict, and by more than they favor their lab as a whole. GPT-6.1 Sol gives its own five configurations (GPT-6.1 Sol at every setting on the board) 7.9 more points (95% interval 6.8 to 8.9), against +3.7 for OpenAI as a whole; Claude Opus 5.5 gives its own five +2.9 (1.8 to 4.3) and GLM 5.3 Flash gives its own configuration +1.7 (1.3 to 2.0).
Judge Without a Lab
Jev, whose maker has no model on the board, also shows lab preferences; its two largest are Alibaba +3.7 and Google -2.6 points. Self-preference is only one source of lab preference on this panel.
Agreement
The judges differ more in generosity than in order. Their average Writing Scores run from 67.2 (Claude Opus 5.5) to 82.0 (GLM 5.3 Flash), while each judge's ranking of the 127 configurations follows the Writing Score ranking closely: Spearman correlation 0.94 to 0.99, where 1 means the same order.
Effect on the Board
Each judge counts for a quarter of every judged score. Among the seven labs with at least five ranked configurations, the largest single-judge effects are these: removing Jev would lower Alibaba's average Writing Score by 1.4 points relative to the rest of the board, and removing GPT-6.1 Sol would move OpenAI's configurations 6.3 places down on average.
Head-to-Head Check
In a blind head-to-head check of the top 15 configurations, Claude Opus 5.5 agrees with the board on all seven pairs whose Writing Elo intervals do not overlap.
01

Judge Panel

Who scores each draft, at which setting, and how generous each judge is.

Every draft on the board is scored once by each of the four judges, blind to the model that wrote it, and the Writing Score is their plain average. Claude Opus 5.5 is the strictest judge and GLM 5.3 Flash the most generous. Within one configuration, the judge that scores it highest and the judge that scores it lowest are 15.1 points apart on average, whichever judges those are.

JudgeExact versionHow it runsAverage Writing Score givenSpread across configurations
Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic, LLM judgeclaude-opus-5-5Medium effort, through the Claude Code subscription67.212.627.1 to 85.2
GPT-6.1 SolOpenAI, LLM judgegpt-6.1-solMedium reasoning, through the Codex CLI70.610.534.6 to 86.0
GLM 5.3 FlashZ.ai, LLM judgez-ai/glm-5.3-flashThrough OpenRouter82.09.538.7 to 91.7
Jev 1.13TypeSafe, typed judgejev-1.13.0TypeSafe API, model pinned to jev-1.13.073.29.236.2 to 83.5

The average is over all 6,350 drafts. Spread is the standard deviation of a judge's average score across the 127 configurations, with its lowest and highest configuration below it: a larger spread means the judge separates strong and weak configurations more. Jev's raw answers are mapped onto the LLM judges' average scale for each metric (calibration), so its average matches the LLM judges' average by construction and says nothing about its own generosity.

02

Lab Preference by Judge

Points each judge adds to or removes from each lab's drafts, compared with the other LLM judges.

Judges differ in overall generosity, so raw averages cannot show a preference for one lab. Instead, each judge is compared with what the other LLM judges' scores predict for the same configurations. The difference, in Writing Score points, is the judge's lab preference: a positive value means the judge gives that lab's drafts more points than the other LLM judges' scores predict, a negative value fewer, and zero means no preference.

How to read the chart. Each spoke is one lab and each outline one judge. A point outside the bold zero ring means the judge gives that lab's drafts more points than the other LLM judges' scores predict; a point inside it, fewer. A ring marks the judge's own lab, with its value printed. Each row is one lab, with one line per judge. A mark right of the bold zero line means the judge gives that lab's drafts more points than the other LLM judges' scores predict; a mark left of it, fewer. A ring marks the judge's own lab. The printed values are each judge's own lab and every value whose 95% interval excludes zero. Select a judge to highlight its marks, and hover or tap a mark for its value and interval.
Lab preference by judge: one spoke per lab, one outline per judgeAnthropicOpenAIZ.aiDeepSeekxAIAlibabaGoogle+1.9+3.7+0.5
-4-20+2+4
Anthropic29 configurations
+1.9 own lab
-1.9
+0.9
OpenAI27 configurations
-2.2
+3.7 own lab
-1.5
-2.3
Z.ai7 configurations
+0.5 own lab
DeepSeek9 configurations
-1.8
+0.6
+1.5
xAI8 configurations
Alibaba8 configurations
+1.4
+3.7
Google15 configurations
-2.6

Rings and gridlines every 2 points. Labs shown: every lab with at least five ranked configurations, plus each judge's own lab, ordered by the Writing Elo of their best configuration (clockwise from the top on the radar, top to bottom in rows).

Lab Preference Values

Each value is in Writing Score points, with its 95% interval below it. Values in bold have an interval that excludes zero.

LabClaude Opus 5.5GPT-6.1 SolGLM 5.3 FlashJev
AnthropicClaude: 29 configurations, 1,450 drafts+1.9own lab1.0 to 2.9-1.9-3.0 to -0.9+0.90.5 to 1.3+0.6-0.2 to 1.4
OpenAIGPT: 27 configurations, 1,350 drafts-2.2-3.7 to -0.8+3.7own lab2.3 to 5.2-1.5-2.0 to -0.9-2.3-3.5 to -1.0
Z.aiGLM: 7 configurations, 350 drafts+0.4-0.6 to 1.6-1.3-2.6 to 0.2+0.5own lab-0.3 to 1.2+0.7-0.4 to 1.7
DeepSeekDeepSeek: 9 configurations, 450 drafts+0.8-0.3 to 1.8-1.8-2.9 to -0.8+0.60.04 to 1.2+1.50.6 to 2.3
xAIGrok: 8 configurations, 400 drafts-0.3-1.2 to 0.7+0.2-0.8 to 1.4-0.3-1.1 to 0.4+1.7-0.5 to 3.5
AlibabaQwen: 8 configurations, 400 drafts-0.2-1.9 to 1.9-1.3-3.5 to 0.7+1.40.1 to 2.8+3.71.0 to 7.2
GoogleGemini and Gemma: 15 configurations, 750 drafts0.0-0.8 to 0.7-0.5-1.5 to 0.7-0.4-1.2 to 0.3-2.6-4.1 to -0.9

How the Values Are Computed

  1. Each judge's average Writing Score is taken for each of the 127 ranked configurations, over its 10 scripts and 50 drafts: 6,350 drafts per judge.
  2. The reference for an LLM judge is the average of the other two LLM judges. The reference for Jev is the average of the three LLM judges. Jev stays out of the LLM judges' reference so that its own strong preferences do not appear as preferences of the others.
  3. For each lab, a second-degree polynomial that predicts the judge's score from the reference is fitted by least squares on every configuration from the other 14 labs.
  4. The lab's value is the average gap between the judge's score and the curve's prediction over that lab's own configurations.
  5. The 95% interval is a bootstrap: the 10 scripts, and the configurations within each lab, are resampled with replacement 1,000 times and every step is repeated. The middle 95% of the results is the interval.

How the Reference Changes the Values

An LLM judge is compared with the other two, so a preference of one of them moves the others' values for the same lab in the opposite direction. The largest case on this board: Claude Opus 5.5's OpenAI value is -2.2 points against the average of GPT-6.1 Sol and GLM 5.3 Flash, and +1.5 against GLM 5.3 Flash alone, so all of that value comes from GPT-6.1 Sol's preference for its own lab. Every value for another LLM judge's own lab carries some of this effect.

The own-lab values depend on the reference too. Each one against both other LLM judges, then against each of them alone:

  • Claude Opus 5.5 for Anthropic: +1.9 against both, +3.2 against GPT-6.1 Sol alone, +0.7 against GLM 5.3 Flash alone.
  • GPT-6.1 Sol for OpenAI: +3.7 against both, +3.3 against Claude Opus 5.5 alone, +4.4 against GLM 5.3 Flash alone.
  • GLM 5.3 Flash for Z.ai: +0.5 against both, +0.4 against Claude Opus 5.5 alone, +0.7 against GPT-6.1 Sol alone.

Each own-lab value whose interval excludes zero stays positive against either judge alone; its size depends on which judges form the reference.

Differences From the Earlier Version of This Chart

An earlier version of this analysis, computed on October 1, 2026, covered the previous panel (Claude Opus 5, GPT-5.6 Sol, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash and Jev 1.13) and drew the values as a radar, as this page's chart does by default. It used a straight-line fit and only the configurations whose three LLM judges averaged 75 or more. This page keeps its references and its fit outside each lab, and changes two things.

  • A curve instead of a straight line. GLM 5.3 Flash compresses its scores near the top of the scale. Against its reference, a straight line explains 93.4% of the variance in its configuration scores and the curve 98.5%, so a straight line misreads the strongest labs.
  • Every ranked configuration. The current panel scores on a lower scale: only 72 of the 127 configurations reach the 75-point pool and Google would drop out of it entirely. The curve follows the whole range, so no lab is cut.

Labs with fewer than five ranked configurations are left off the chart because a few configurations give an unstable average. They still count in every fit, and a judge's own lab is always shown. Seven labs are shown on this board.

03

Self-Preference

Each LLM judge's preference for its own lab and for the model it runs, with 95% intervals.

Judging is blind: no judge is told which model wrote a draft. A judge can still favor the writing style its own lab's models share. Each card shows an LLM judge's preference for its own lab, from the same calculation as the chart in section 02, and what the board would look like if that judge scored it alone.

GPT-6.1 Sol for OpenAI

+3.7 points

95% interval 2.3 to 5.2. The interval excludes zero.

Its largest preference among the seven labs. Judged by GPT-6.1 Sol alone, OpenAI's 27 configurations would rank a median of five places higher by Writing Score. Alone, it would put GPT-6 Astra (max) at #1; the panel's Writing Score puts OpenAI's best configuration, GPT-6 Sol (max), at #8.

Claude Opus 5.5 for Anthropic

+1.9 points

95% interval 1.0 to 2.9. The interval excludes zero.

Its largest preference among the seven labs. Judged by Claude Opus 5.5 alone, Anthropic's 29 configurations would rank a median of one place higher by Writing Score. Claude Opus 5.5 (max effort) is #1 both alone and by the panel's Writing Score.

GLM 5.3 Flash for Z.ai

+0.5 points

95% interval -0.3 to 1.2. The interval includes zero, so this board cannot tell the preference from noise.

Its fourth largest preference among the seven labs. Judged by GLM 5.3 Flash alone, Z.ai's seven configurations would rank a median of five places higher by Writing Score. Its best Z.ai configuration, GLM-5.3 (max), would rank #11 instead of #16.

Preference for the Judge's Own Model

Each LLM judge runs a model that also competes on the board. The own-model value applies the same curve as the own-lab value, fitted outside the judge's lab, and averages the gap over that model's configurations only. Values are in Writing Score points, with the 95% interval below each; values in bold have an interval that excludes zero.

JudgeModel it runsOwn modelOwn lab
GPT-6.1 SolGPT-6.1 SolFive configurations on the board+7.96.8 to 8.9+3.7OpenAI, 2.3 to 5.2
Claude Opus 5.5Claude Opus 5.5Five configurations on the board+2.91.8 to 4.3+1.9Anthropic, 1.0 to 2.9
GLM 5.3 FlashGLM-5.3 FlashOne configuration on the board+1.71.3 to 2.0+0.5Z.ai, -0.3 to 1.2

The intervals come from a separate bootstrap of 1,000 samples that resamples the scripts, and the model's configurations among themselves, so the own-lab intervals keep their values. GLM-5.3 Flash has one configuration on the board, so its interval comes from resampling the scripts alone.

Jev has no lab of its own on the board. Its two largest preferences, Alibaba +3.7 and Google -2.6 points, are about as large as the largest self-preference above. Self-preference is therefore only one source of lab preference on this panel.

Ranks in this section are by Writing Score among the 127 configurations. The board itself ranks by Writing Elo, which follows the Writing Score closely.

04

Agreement Between Judges

How closely the judges' scores and rankings match.

The Pearson correlation (r) measures how closely two judges' scores move together: 1 means they rise and fall in step, 0 that they are unrelated. On single drafts it runs from 0.81 (GPT-6.1 Sol and Jev) to 0.94 (Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol). Averaging a configuration's 50 drafts cancels most draft-level disagreement, so the configuration figures are higher.

JudgesSingle draftsConfiguration averages
Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol0.940.97
Claude Opus 5.5 and GLM 5.3 Flash0.940.97
Claude Opus 5.5 and Jev0.870.95
GPT-6.1 Sol and GLM 5.3 Flash0.910.95
GPT-6.1 Sol and Jev0.810.91
GLM 5.3 Flash and Jev0.890.97

Each Judge's Ranking Against the Writing Score

The Spearman correlation (ρ) compares two rankings: 1 means the same order. Each judge's ranking of the configurations, by its own average, is compared with the Writing Score ranking, which includes that judge, and with the average of the other three judges, which does not. The board itself ranks by Writing Elo, so a configuration's place by Writing Score can differ from its configuration rank on the board. Jev agrees least with the others (ρ 0.909): it shares six of the Writing Score top 10, and its #1 is Claude Fable 5.1 (max effort), #5 by Writing Score.

JudgeSpearman ρ with the Writing ScoreSpearman ρ with the other three judgesWriting Score top 10 in its top 10Its #1 configuration
Claude Opus 5.50.9910.9829 of 10Claude Opus 5.5 (max effort)#1 by Writing Score, configuration #1 on the board
GPT-6.1 Sol0.9690.9263 of 10GPT-6 Astra (max)#20 by Writing Score, configuration #21 on the board
GLM 5.3 Flash0.9880.9839 of 10Claude Opus 5.5 (max effort)#1 by Writing Score, configuration #1 on the board
Jev0.9370.9096 of 10Claude Fable 5.1 (max effort)#5 by Writing Score, configuration #4 on the board
05

Strictness by Metric

Average score each judge gives on each judged metric.

Claude Opus 5.5 gives the lowest average on seven of the eight judged metrics, and GLM 5.3 Flash the highest on all eight. The widest gap is on Slop Score, judged half: 22.9 points between the strictest and the most generous judge. Each cell is the judge's average over all 6,350 drafts; its color shows the difference from the four-judge average for that metric. Length and the computed half of the Slop Score are measured by code and are the same for every judge, so they have no row of their own.

Average score by judge and judged metric
MetricClaude Opus 5.5OpusGPT-6.1 SolGPTGLM 5.3 FlashGLMJevJevPanel averageAvg
Tone & Voice MatchTone60.465.581.269.069.0
Writing Craft & ClarityCraft63.070.380.271.171.2
Substance, Accuracy & ValueSubstance71.373.784.676.676.6
Continuity & EmotionContinuity66.171.183.373.473.5
YouTube Best PracticesYouTube66.167.980.671.471.5
Hook StrengthHook72.972.485.276.776.8
Visual Cue QualityCues64.665.679.369.869.8
Slop Score, judged halfSlop, judged56.662.179.565.966.0
Writing ScoreScore67.270.682.073.273.3

Jev's scores are mapped onto the LLM judges' average scale metric by metric, so its column matches the panel average by construction and says nothing about its own strictness.

06

Blind Head-to-Head Check

What a blind side-by-side comparison says about the consensus order at the top.

The board's order comes from rubric scores. As a separate check, Claude Opus 5.5 read two anonymous drafts of the same script side by side, in both orders, without their rubric scores, and picked the better one. Each of the top 15 configurations was paired with every other top-15 configuration up to two places away on the board, on all 10 scripts.

100%agreement on the 7 pairs the board treats as settled
55.6%agreement on 18 closer pairs
80.7%verdicts unchanged when the two drafts swap sides
540judgments on 27 pairs

Most of these pairs are near neighbors whose 95% Writing Elo intervals overlap, so the board does not claim an order for them. The pairs that could contradict the board are the ones it treats as settled, with intervals that do not overlap. The other two pairs split evenly between the two drafts, so they count toward neither order. The full head-to-head ranking of the top 15 has a Spearman correlation of 0.30 with the board, a noisy figure because it rests on close neighbors.

Claude Opus 5.5 is also the panel's Anthropic judge, and twelve of the top 15 configurations are Anthropic's. Its head-to-head order places the other three configurations 0.3 places higher on average than the board does, and Anthropic's twelve configurations 0.1 places lower. This check shows no lean toward Anthropic's configurations.

All 15 Configurations in the Check
ConfigurationLabConfiguration rankHead-to-head rank
Claude Opus 5.5 (max effort)Anthropic#1#2
Claude Opus 5.5 (xhigh)Anthropic#2#4
Claude Sonnet 5.5 (max effort)Anthropic#3#8
Claude Fable 5.1 (max effort)Anthropic#4#13
Claude Opus 5.5 (high)Anthropic#5#9
Claude Opus 5.5 (medium)Anthropic#6#5
Claude Opus 5.5 (low)Anthropic#7#3
GPT-6 Sol (max)OpenAI#8#15
Claude Fable 5.1 (high)Anthropic#9#12
Claude Sonnet 5.5 (xhigh)Anthropic#10#10
Claude Opus 5 (max effort)Anthropic#11#1
Claude Fable 5 (max effort, Opus 4.8 fallback)Anthropic#12#6
Claude Opus 5 (high)Anthropic#13#11
GPT-6 Sol (medium)OpenAI#14#7
GLM-5.3 (max)Z.ai#15#14
07

Effect on the Published Board

How much of each judge's lab preference reaches the published Writing Score.

The Writing Score averages the four judges with equal weight. A preference of one judge therefore enters every score at about a quarter of its size, and the preferences of judges from different labs pull in different directions. To measure what remains, the board is recomputed without each judge in turn, and the average Writing Score and rank of each lab shown are compared with the published ones.

1.4 pointsLargest change one judge makes to the average Writing Score of a lab shown: Jev on Alibaba
6.3 placesLargest average rank change one judge causes for a lab shown: GPT-6.1 Sol on OpenAI

The largest preference on the panel, GPT-6.1 Sol at +3.7 points for OpenAI, changes OpenAI's average Writing Score by +1.0 points on the board. It still moves OpenAI's configurations 6.3 places on average, because ranks are crowded: among the top 20 configurations, neighboring configurations are a median 0.07 Writing Score points apart.

Effect of Each Judge by Lab

Each cell shows how many Writing Score points the judge's presence adds to the lab's configurations, relative to the rest of the board, and how many places it moves them by Writing Score. Positive values mean the judge lifts the lab.

LabClaude Opus 5.5GPT-6.1 SolGLM 5.3 FlashJev
Anthropic+1.1own lab+1.1 places-0.2-1.6 places-0.4+0.4 places-0.5+0.4 places
OpenAI+0.2-0.4 places+1.0own lab+6.3 places-0.5-1.4 places-0.8-2.8 places
Z.ai0.0-0.1 places-0.4-2.4 places+0.2own lab+1.4 places+0.2+1.3 places
DeepSeek+0.2-0.2 places-0.6-5.1 places+0.1+0.8 places+0.3+2.3 places
xAI-0.3-2.0 places-0.2-2.3 places0.0-0.8 places+0.5+3.8 places
Alibaba-1.2-1.6 places-0.5+0.4 places+0.4+0.5 places+1.4+2.1 places
Google-0.5+0.6 places0.00.0 places+0.6+0.1 places-0.1-1.0 places

What This Analysis Cannot Detect

Every value on this page compares a judge with the other judges. A preference that all four judges share, for example for a writing style that several labs' models produce, cancels out of these comparisons and stays in the Writing Score. Only an outside reference, such as blind human ratings, can measure it. The methodology page lists the board's other reliability checks.

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